Hockey Data Centre

Advanced Hockey analytics for casual fans or supernerds. No paywalls.

Live

Tonight's schedule and live boxscores.

Bracket

Playoff bracket.

Playoff Simulator

Simulate the playoffs from their current position, with leaderboard for all simulations run so far today and all-time.

Cup Odds

Playoff and cup odds for each team still in the playoff race.

Teams

Team-based stats including xGoals.

Blog

Random data visualizations, commentary and analysis.

xG values are generated by a custom XGBoost model trained on ~1.5 million shots between 2015-2025 with location, distance, angle, game state, player strength-state, shift data (and others) totalling to 40+ numeric, categorical and ordinal features. On unseen shots, this model acheives close to (open-source) SOTA performance (MSE/Brier: 0.04287, LogLoss: 0.15970, AUC: 0.83716) but training is still a WIP and shot features are expanding. Alternative feature representaions and model architectures like simple MLPs are next. Other models like win likelihood, entertainment value, defensive prowess are in development. YT videos with data stories in development.

Data is automatically refreshed nightly from the NHL API. Model inference and playoff simulation are run nightly after incorporating the latest games.